?
点击下方“阅读原文”前往“乐存乐库迷你仓°全景展示页面
OnJune24,Britainendedthereferendum.Although,someoftheregionalvoteswerenotreleased,statisticsshowsthatBritishwouldleaveEuropeUnion.北京时间6月24日凌晨五点,英国结束了退欧公投,虽然目前仍有一些退欧大区的选票没有公布,但根据现阶段公布的统计数据,英国退欧已经是铁板钉钉的事情。
Beforethereferendum,astheBritisheliteshavemorelinkswiththeEU,thereismoresupportforBritaintoremainwithintheEU.Theirvoiceswillbeheardbymostpeople,butordinarypeoplewillberelativelyless,whichareoneofthereasonsleadingtotheoutsideworldmistakenforthefactthatmorepeoplearewillingtostayinBritainintheEU.However,intheInternetage,itismoreconvenientforpeopletogetandexchangesourcesandinformation,ordinarypeoplemorepessimisticontheEUisoneofthemainreasonsleadingtotheBritishoffEurope”.
在投票前夕,由于英国精英阶层跟欧盟有更多的联系,也就更支持英国留在欧盟内部。他们的声音会被大多数人听到,而普通人的会相对较少,这就是导致外界误以为英国有更多人愿意留在欧盟的原因之一。不过,在互联网时代,人们的信息来源和交流更加方便,普通人对欧盟前景比较悲观是导致英国“脱欧”的主要原因之一。
TheshockovertheBrexitwillhavegreatinfluenceonChina,butitisalsoendowedwithanewopportunityontherapiddevelopmentofbothChineseandEnglisheconomic,tradeandpoliticsrelationsetc.英国脱欧冲击波在中国会有折射,但同时也赋予了中英两国快速发展经贸、政治等全方位关系的新契机。
ChinaandtheUKarecloselyeconomicallyandpoliticallylinked.Intheshortterm,ChinawillundertakesomepressureoftheBrexitthroughtheexchangerate,andtradechannel.Fortheexchangerate,depreciationoftheBritishpoundagainsttheUSdollarleadstopassivedevaluationoftheRMBagainstthedollar,whichwillincreasetheimpulseofthecapitaloutflow.IfthedurationofthepoundandtheeuroagainsttheU.S.dollarlastlonger,thecentralbankmayhavetointervenetoensurethattheRMBexchangerateisrelativelystable.First,ChinahastostrengthentheexchangerateofRMBoffshoremarketintervention.Forthetradechannels,BritainisChinassecondlargesttradingpartnerinEU.Therefore,theupliftingoftheexchangerateriskcanleadbothcountriestobemorecautiousontradeandinvestment.中国和英国有密切的经贸联系和政治联系。短期内,通过汇率渠道、贸易渠道,中国将承接一些英国脱欧的压力。汇率方面,英镑对美元贬值带动美元升值,导致人民币对美元被动贬值,这将增加资本外流的冲动。如果英镑、欧元对美元贬值持续时间较长,央行可能不得不出手干预,以保证人民币汇率的相对稳定。而首要的,是加强对人民币离岸市场的汇价干预;贸易渠道方面,英国是欧盟内部对华第二大贸易伙伴,汇率风险的抬升会导致双方企业近期在贸易和投资上趋于审慎。
ExitofBritainfromtheEUhasgreatadvantagesforChinaaswell.Forexample,thedepreciationofthepoundwilllowerinvestments,travelingexpenses,andstudycostsinBritainwhichbe北京白癜风怎么办需要多少钱能治好北京看白癜风最正规医院